Investment & Risk
Management Strategy
Investing in energy ventures has traditionally
been associated as having greater potential returns, with corresponding
risks, than any other type of investment. The high-risk/high-potential
of certain categories of these ventures (commonly referred to as
"wildcats") drove investment for many years. There are many such
opportunities available today. However, the Fund's oil and gas
investment strategy is to focus on projects where risk dollars are
substantially moderated and returns of 20% to 40% are the expected norm.
Risk and at-risk dollars are moderated by
investing in projects fitting three categories. In order of decreasing
risk, these are:
1. Possible Reserves:
Known, productive zones within a field where additional reserves may be
separated from proved reserves by faulting. These types of projects are
of significant interest among independent energy companies and
investors because geological data from existing wells is available to
aid in developing the geological hypothesis. Both risk and at-risk
dollars are moderated because the existing geological evidence
dramatically increases the probability of success.
2. Probable Reserves: These
type of projects involve re-entering abandoned oil and natural gas
wells to test potentially productive natural gas zones bypassed when
natural gas prices were under $0.75 per thousand cubic feet (MCF).
Natural gas is now over $5.00 per MCF and is expected to increase in
value as the push for cleaner burning, non-imported fuels grows
stronger. Risk is moderated because geological data from the original
well is available to develop the geological hypothesis, thus increasing
the likelihood for a successful new well.
3. Proven Reserves: The
most actively pursued subcategory today. After a discovery well locates
hydrocarbons in commercial quantities, a multi-well drilling program to
exploit newly discovered reserves commences. The exciting part of these
projects is that in many cases, the major oil companies have already
discovered the field, yet it fails to meet their minimum size criteria
(For example: Large oil companies usually will not even consider
developing a field unless it is at least a 50 to 500 well project. A 3
to 4 well project is not worth their time. Yet, to a smaller
independent and their private individual investors, a 3 to 4 well
project can be quite lucrative. Smaller independents, if they have the
capital, can pick up the "nuggets" that the major oil companies leave
behind.
In order of decreasing risk, both risk and at-risk
dollars are moderated by investing in:
1. A known productive zone in a field where
reserves may be separated from proved reserves via faulting.
2. Re-entering abandoned oil & gas wells
to test for productive natural gas zones.
3. A multi-well drilling program to exploit proven
reserves.
The Fund's Management intends to follow this
balanced approach when selecting projects for Fund participation and
investment.
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